Saturday, August 12, 2017

Stock Lists and charts have been updated for 8/11/2017

The sector list is indicating the non-US Markets are performing better than U.S. Markets.

In the U.S. market small cap stocks (IWM) are in trouble. The U.S. Mid-Cap index (MDY) is not showing an uptrend.

See the Sector ETF page for more insight in how the sectors are performing.


Sunday, July 2, 2017

Current state of the model list


The model list has been underperforming the S&P500 index for a few weeks. The model list normally outperforms the S&P500 but there are periods when it also underperforms. The stocks in the model list are currently extended but since the list changes every week, it will start to pick up stocks which will outperform the S&P500 as the stock sectors rotate. It is not a good idea to go to cash during these periods of underperformance of the model list. The reason being that we (portfolio) could get whipsawed. The time to go into cash or short term bonds is when the Tactical signal indicates so. This signal is shown on the lift side under “Market Trend”.

Sunday, June 11, 2017

Stock lists and charts have been updated for June 10, 2017.

Stock lists and charts have been updated for June 10, 2017.

The Summation Index is still close to 1000 and it is still above its moving average, indicating there is still a good chance for the market to keep on moving up in the short term. However the price action on Friday on QQQ puts us on notice to watch the Summation Index very carefully.

In Growth vs Value chart the line has been going up since Dec 2, indicating that growth is outperforming value. However last week the line turned down for the week, indicating that value did better last week than growth. By reversion to the mean theory the upward movement of growth stocks may slow down and value stocks may start moving up.
We may be at a point in the Market where the performance of growth stocks may slow down compared to value stocks. It is time to start watching the market closely to understand what it is telling us, then decide what action to take.