Saturday, August 8, 2026

Stats for 2026-08-07 (1st week of the Month)


  1. Weekly Market Trend & Sector Rotation Analysis

    1. Market Trend Analysis

    • Multi-Week Trend & Market Regime: Over the past four weeks, market internals have transitioned from a tight, concentrated rally into a Risk-On (Broadening Leadership) regime. Participation across mid-cap and small-cap indexes (IJR Oscillator: 9.0; MDY Oscillator: 5.0) continues to outpacing large-cap benchmarks (SPY Oscillator: 3.0), illustrating a structural expansion in broad-market breadth. The exchange distribution remains comfortably balanced at 57.1% Nasdaq versus 42.9% NYSE/Amex, while the elevated median market cap ($13.09B) reflects institutional capital commitments expanding across mid-sized companies rather than retreating into safe havens.

    • Oscillator Trends & Momentum: Oscillator dynamics across major indexes confirm a healthy consolidation and basing process. While short-term oscillator values in broad mega-cap technology temporarily decelerated into negative territory (NVDA: -8, AVGO: -9, GOOGL: -3, META: -22), momentum indicators across core tech sub-sectors like semiconductors (AMD: +29) and hardware (AAPL: +8) are rising rapidly. Late-cycle and defensive areas such as Pharmaceuticals (XPH: 21.0) and Health Care Services (XHS: 18.0) showcase top-tier oscillator expansion, signaling steady institutional accumulation across defensive growth assets.

    • GPA Insights & Fundamental Quality: Fundamental leadership quality remains resilient. High GPA metrics in key technology hardware and security plays (FTNT: 3.96 GPA; NVDA: 3.96 GPA) align with strong fundamental scores in financial majors (BMO: 3.96 GPA; BAC: 3.92 GPA). This consistently elevated GPA baseline indicates that recent price pullbacks were driven by technical valuation digestion rather than balance sheet decay or falling corporate profit margins.

    • Sector Rotation: Active capital rotation is underway, shifting out of crowded mega-cap index weightings and into Financials (37% of top market setups, anchored by Banks at 18% and Capital Markets at 8%), Information Technology (24%), and Health Care (16%).

    • Mega-Cap Leadership Check: Mega-cap growth equities currently display a majority negative, but bottoming oscillator setup.

      • Insight & Interpretation: While mega caps are not leading the broad index push—allowing mid-caps, small-caps, and financials to carry market leadership—the rising momentum in key semiconductor and hardware anchors indicates that mega caps are completing a multi-week technical base. Because underlying GPAs remain high, this transitional phase sets up mega-cap tech to join the broader market expansion, rather than signaling a structural market breakdown.

    • Trend Stage & Risk Assessment: The market is currently operating in a Mid Trend transition. The market risk level is assessed at Medium.

    2. Economic Outlook

    The underlying market data points to a resilient macroeconomic expansion characterized by strong corporate earnings power, robust business activity, and stable credit conditions. A heavy 37% institutional allocation toward Financials and Banks, paired with surging relative strength in Small Caps, indicates that market participants are pricing in economic durability rather than immediate recessionary pressure. Meanwhile, sustained capital flows into healthcare services, pharmaceuticals, and infrastructure technology show that investors are maintaining a balanced risk posture to navigate interest rate and geopolitical sensitivity. Overall, market sentiment is cautiously bullish to transitional, supported by abundant market liquidity, expanding market participation, and stable risk appetite.

    3. Investment Ideas

    Capital is actively spreading beyond hyper-concentrated mega-cap indexes and allocating into specialized tech verticals, high-quality financial cyclicals, mid-cap growth, and defensive cash-flow yielders. Investors should maintain a barbelled allocation framework: pair high-GPA cyclical setups (Commercial Banks, Capital Markets) with core AI hardware and cybersecurity infrastructure on pullbacks. Style preferences favor a blend of Mid-Cap Value and High-Quality Growth, allowing portfolios to benefit from ongoing market broadening while systematically accumulating core large-cap growth positions as tech completes its consolidation phase.

    4. ETF Opportunities

    • Small & Mid Cap Broadening: IJR (iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF), MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF), IWM (iShares Russell 2000 ETF), VOE (Vanguard Mid-Cap Value ETF)

    • Technology & AI Hardware Core: QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust), SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF), CIBR (First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF), IGV (iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF)

    • Financial Leadership: KBE (SPDR S&P Bank ETF), XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund), VFH (Vanguard Financials ETF)

    • Defensive & Healthcare: XPH (SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF), XHS (SPDR S&P Health Care Services ETF), VHT (Vanguard Health Care ETF)

    • Free Cash Flow & Value Anchors: COWZ (Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF), SCHD (Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF)

    5. Top 7 ETFs to Research Now

    1. IJR (iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF) — Small Cap Equity: Top relative strength score (Oscillator: 9.0) driven by capital rotating into broad small-cap leadership.

    2. SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) — Semiconductors: Prime long-term growth vehicle trading at a ~13% pullback discount from its 52-week peak ($582.70 vs $671.83) with high underlying GPA quality.

    3. QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust) — Large Cap Growth: Essential core growth holding completing a healthy technical base near record highs, offering ideal phased dollar-cost-averaging entries.

    4. XPH (SPDR S&P Pharmaceuticals ETF) — Healthcare / Breakout: Features the highest positive momentum oscillator in current market data (21.0), capturing institutional flows into defensive growth assets.

    5. KBE (SPDR S&P Bank ETF) — Financials: Directly captures the dominant sector theme in recent market setup data (37% Financials allocation).

    6. MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF Trust) — Mid Cap Equity: Solid momentum (Oscillator: 5.0) reflecting healthy, sustained participation across mid-sized companies.

    7. COWZ (Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF) — Large/Mid Cap Value: Provides high free-cash-flow yield protection to anchor portfolio drawdowns during transitional market phases.
    .

Stats for 2026-08-07 (1st week of the Month)

List creation date: 2026-08-07

Median MarketCap: 13094

57.1% stocks on Nasdaq; 42.9% stocks on NYSE/Amex

Sector
Financials37%
Information Technology24%
Health Care16%
Industrials6%
Consumer Discretionary6%
Communication Services6%
Energy3%
Consumer Staples2%
Industry
Banks18%
Software11%
Capital Markets8%
Financial Services6%
Biotechnology6%
Pharmaceuticals6%
Entertainment5%
Communications Equipm3%
Technology Hardware, 3%
Electronic Equipment,3%
Semiconductors & Semi3%
Life Sciences Tools &3%
Consumer Finance3%
Aerospace & Defense3%
Machinery2%
Commercial Services &2%
Household Durables2%
Hotels, Restaurants &2%
Broadline Retail2%
Specialty Retail2%
Consumer Staples Dist2%
Insurance2%
Energy Equipment & Se2%
Oil, Gas & Consumable2%
Media2%
Country
United States86%
Canada6%
Greece2%
Ireland2%
Peru2%
Spain2%
United Kingdom2%
GPASym(0gpaamp5) IndustrySectorMktCapCountryName
3.96BMO Banks Financials 126472CanadaBank of Montreal
3.92BAC Banks Financials 441732USBank of America
3.92BUSE Banks Financials 2558USFirst Busey
3.88IFS Banks Financials 6648PeruIntercorp Financial Services I
3.84BBVA Banks Financials 156950SpainBanco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentari
3.84CM Banks Financials 107811CanadaCanadian Imperial Bank of Comm
3.84PNC Banks Financials 100757USThe PNC Financial Services Gro
3.84UMBF Banks Financials 11058USUMB Financial
3.84CUBI Banks Financials 2772USCustomers Bancorp,
3.84KRNY Banks Financials 599USKearny Financial.
3.80RY Banks Financials 291916CanadaRoyal Bank of Canada
3.96VCTR Capital Markets Financials 6658USVictory Capital Holdings,
3.92STT Capital Markets Financials 50732USState Street
3.92AAMI Capital Markets Financials 3189USAcadian Asset Management
3.88NTRS Capital Markets Financials 33951USNorthern Trust
3.80BEN Capital Markets Financials 17158USFranklin Resources,
3.96RELY Financial Services Financials 5165USRemitly Global,
3.96PAYS Financial Services Financials 706USPaysign,
3.92CPAY Financial Services Financials 25683USCorpay,
3.92PAY Financial Services Financials 4858USPaymentus Holdings,
3.96ENVA Consumer Finance Financials 6290USEnova International,
3.96ECPG Consumer Finance Financials 2125USEncore Capital Group,
3.96SKWD Insurance Financials 2825USSkyward Specialty Insurance Gr
3.96FTNT Software Information Technology 117130USFortinet,
3.96GEN Software Information Technology 17461USGen Digital
3.96OOMA Software Information Technology 604USOoma,
3.92PANW Software Information Technology 296546USPalo Alto Networks,
3.92CRWD Software Information Technology 218335USCrowdStrike Holdings,
3.88IOT Software Information Technology 23821USSamsara
3.84QLYS Software Information Technology 6351USQualys,
3.96ANET Communications Equipm Information Technology 237955USArista Networks,
3.96DGII Communications Equipm Information Technology 3100USDigi International
3.92NTAP Technology Hardware, Information Technology 37192USNetApp,
3.84DELL Technology Hardware, Information Technology 293200USDell Technologies
3.96ZBRA Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 17796USZebra Technologies
3.80NSIT Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 4502USInsight Enterprises,
3.96NVDA Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 5424429USNVIDIA
3.88AVGO Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 2035103USBroadcom
3.96HALO Biotechnology Health Care 12231USHalozyme Therapeutics,
3.96CDNA Biotechnology Health Care 2416USCareDx,
3.92PTGX Biotechnology Health Care 9381USProtagonist Therapeutics,
3.88KNSA Biotechnology Health Care 5935United KingdomKiniksa Pharmaceuticals Intern
3.96JAZZ Pharmaceuticals Health Care 16655IrelandJazz Pharmaceuticals plc
3.96LQDA Pharmaceuticals Health Care 8023USLiquidia
3.92LLY Pharmaceuticals Health Care 1056891USEli Lilly and Company
3.92ETON Pharmaceuticals Health Care 1222USEton Pharmaceuticals,
3.80MEDP Life Sciences Tools & Health Care 16487USMedpace Holdings,
3.80BLFS Life Sciences Tools & Health Care 1695USBioLife Solutions,
3.92HWM Aerospace & Defense Industrials 112414USHowmet Aerospace
3.88HEI Aerospace & Defense Industrials 42807USHEICO
3.96WTS Machinery Industrials 13094USWatts Water Technologies,
3.96CXW Commercial Services & Industrials 3191USCoreCivic,
3.80SN Household Durables Consumer Discretionary 26135USSharkNinja,
3.92ABNB Hotels, Restaurants & Consumer Discretionary 104988USAirbnb,
3.96AMZN Broadline Retail Consumer Discretionary 2960627USAmazon.com,
3.96ROST Specialty Retail Consumer Discretionary 81873USRoss Stores,
3.96ROKU Entertainment Communication Services 22613USRoku,
3.88CNK Entertainment Communication Services 4272USCinemark Holdings,
3.88IMAX Entertainment Communication Services 2659CanadaIMAX
3.84MGNI Media Communication Services 3545USMagnite,
3.92NESR Energy Equipment & Se Energy 2937USNational Energy Services Reuni
3.96ECO Oil, Gas & Consumable Energy 2413GreeceOkeanis Eco Tankers.
3.88CHEF Consumer Staples Dist Consumer Staples 4496USThe Chefs' Warehouse,

0GPA38TB (* means Wkly fast and slow Fract individually, stronger then SPY).

% AllocSymName_currentListSymActionSectorsharesHldDlrHldallocHldPrice
5% AMATAPPLIED MATERIALS INC AMAT Information Technology1$539.14.6%$539.14
5% AMDADVANCED MICRO DEVICES AMD Information Technology1$483.44.1%$483.36
6% ANETArista Networks IncANET Information Technology4$754.76.4%$188.67
6% APHAMPHENOL CORP CL A APH Information Technology4$676.75.8%$169.18
4% ARMArvinMeritor, Inc.ARM Information Technology2$565.14.8%$282.57
5% ASMLA S M L Holding N.V. NYASML Information Technology0$0.00.0%$1740.99
6% BMOBANK OF MONTREAL QUEBEC BMO Financials4$726.26.2%$181.55
5% GOOGAlphabet Inc Cl CGOOG Communication Services2$706.96.0%$353.47
5% GOOGLAlphabet Inc Cl AGOOGL Communication Services2$708.66.0%$354.3
4%*KLACK L A TENCOR CORP KLAC Information Technology2$396.23.4%$198.11
5% LRCXLAM RESEARCH CORP LRCX Information Technology2$622.75.3%$311.35
6% MSMORGAN STANLEY MS Financials3$649.05.5%$216.33
5% MUMICRON TECHNOLOGY INC MU Information Technology1$877.67.5%$877.57
6% SCCOSOUTHERN COPPER CORP SCCO Materials3$597.25.1%$199.06
5% STXSEAGATE TECHNOLOGY STX Information Technology1$812.86.9%$812.76
5% TSMTAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR ADRTSM Information Technology1$420.03.6%$420.04
4% WDCWESTERN DIGITAL CORP WDC Information Technology1$434.33.7%$434.3
0% ADIANALOG DEVICES ADIadded Information Technology0$0.00.0%$389.93
0% RYROYAL BANK OF CANADA RYadded Financials0$0.00.0%$211.08
0%*GSGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC GSadded Financials0$0.00.0%$1039.61
0%*HWMHowmet Aerospace IncHWMadded Industrials0$0.00.0%$281.88
0% DELLDell Technologies IncDELLadded Information Technology0$0.00.0%$453.77
0% GLWCORNING INC GLWadded Information Technology0$0.00.0%$165.68
6% LLYLILLY ELI & CO removed Health Care1$1,185.710.1%$1185.71
6% CSCOCISCO SYSTEMS INC removed Information Technology5$607.25.2%$121.43
These selected ETFs are ideas in the current market environment. (* means 6 Month Grt < 0; + means 2 Month Grt < 0)
Style</>% AllocSharesSymbolNameDate
growth5.253UPROSP500 2026-08-07
growth5.258KIEInsurance* 2026-08-07
growth5.253VFHFinancials*Mid and Early Cycle 2026-08-07
growth5.001VHTHealth*Late Cycle to Recession 2026-08-07
growth5.003XLVHealth Care Select*Late Cycle to Recession 2026-08-07
growth4.502VOEMid Cap Value* 2026-08-07
cyclical5.007COWZPacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF* 2026-08-07
cyclical5.006SDOGValue* 2026-08-07
cyclical5.007KBEBank* 2026-08-07
cyclical5.255XHEHealth Care Equipment*Late Cycle to Recession 2026-08-07
cyclical5.259XLFFinancial Select*Mid and Early Cycle 2026-08-07
cyclical5.253IJRSmall Cap 2026-08-07
cyclical5.257XPHPharmaceuticalsLate Cycle to Recession 2026-08-07
cyclical5.252XSWSoftware & Services 2026-08-07
cyclical5.253XHS Health Care ServicesLate Cycle to Recession 2026-08-07
cyclical5.253XBIBiotechEarly to Mid Cycle 2026-08-07
These selected ETFs are early signal in the current market environment. (* means 6 Month Grt < 0; + means 2 Month Grt < 0)
Style</>% AllocSharesSymbolNameDate
growth5.252VOEMid Cap Value* 2026-08-07
growth5.253VFHFinancials*Mid and Early Cycle 2026-08-07
growth5.258KIEInsurance* 2026-08-07
growth5.251VHTHealth*Late Cycle to Recession 2026-08-07
growth5.2515SCHDUS Dividend Equity* 2026-08-07
cyclical5.257XPHPharmaceuticalsLate Cycle to Recession 2026-08-07
cyclical5.253XHS Health Care ServicesLate Cycle to Recession 2026-08-07
cyclical5.255XHEHealth Care Equipment*Late Cycle to Recession 2026-08-07
cyclical5.257KBEBank* 2026-08-07
cyclical5.259XLFFinancial Select*Mid and Early Cycle 2026-08-07
These selected stocks are ideas in the current market environment. Weekly and Monthly Fract better than SPY. * means Wkly fast and slow Fract individually, stronger then SPY.
#%AllocShareSymNameIndustryDateGPAVer
These stocks are from S&P500 which have a stong Oscillator. Spy Osc=3
SymbolBoundOscMax
Fract		Percent
tile		Draw
Down		Draw
Down
7yr		cagr
7Yr		Namecagr
By
dd		score
FFIV 0.50141.083-43-4216.92F5 Inc.407.0
AME 0.5581.069-34-2116.85AMETEK Inc.804.4
EBAY 0.5871.097-60-4915.96eBay Inc.324.1
WELL 0.4671.899-41-4215.34Welltower Inc.363.2
SPY 1.0031.096-33-1915.15SNP500793.0
JPM*0.6041.194-34-3418.65JPMorgan Chase & Co.542.4
LLY*0.5331.275-35-2140.24Eli Lilly and Company1911.6
CAH 0.6011.096-48-2127.67Cardinal Health Inc.1310.6
FTNT 0.39340.953-36-3238.55Fortinet Inc.12013.3
PANW 0.29400.868-36-2739.54Palo Alto Networks Inc.14611.6
AMD*0.26290.986-77-5549.33Advanced Micro Devices Inc.897.5
RTX 0.4980.950-21-2217.20RTX Corporation783.9
AAPL*0.3281.143-36-2330.06Apple Inc.1302.6
GWW 0.5840.864-28-2124.58W.W. Grainger Inc.1172.3
CASY 0.3061.999-21-1726.01Casey's General Stores Inc.1531.8
AMZN*0.2640.729-39-4717.33Amazon.com Inc.361.0
ANET 0.1941.078-37-3044.01Arista Networks Inc.1460.8
MU*0.1351.098-61-4454.51Micron Technology Inc.1230.7
V*0.6711.032-27-2110.93Visa Inc.520.7
FLEX 0.1240.898-59-2741.91Flex Ltd.1550.5
MSFT*0.2911.232-30-2920.53Microsoft Corporation700.3
APH 0.2501.197-34-2333.88Amphenol Corporation1470.0
KLAC 0.10-21.398-37-2846.91KLA Corporation167-0.2
CTAS 0.43-11.222-25-2317.77Cintas Corporation77-0.4
PWR 0.19-41.198-47-2253.89Quanta Services Inc.244-0.8
JBL 0.22-41.098-47-3042.88Jabil Inc.142-0.9
GOOGL*0.35-31.097-30-3429.25Alphabet Inc.86-1.1
HUBB 0.41-30.967-23-2022.16Hubbell Incorporated110-1.2
GOOG*0.35-41.098-34-3429.24Alphabet Inc.86-1.4
HWM 0.30-61.779-15-1561.95Howmet Aerospace Inc.413-1.8
TJX 0.46-41.373-22-2117.50The TJX Companies Inc.83-1.8
AVGO*0.25-91.288-23-2648.39Broadcom Inc.186-2.3
EME 0.21-121.188-36-3038.97EMCOR Group Inc.129-2.5
NVDA*0.34-81.060-58-5278.71NVIDIA Corporation151-2.7
GEV 0.25-111.282-25-25129.91GE Vernova Inc.519-2.8
TSLA*0.13-230.546-53-5854.61Tesla Inc.94-3.0
FIX 0.20-181.497-37-3171.32Comfort Systems USA Inc.230-3.6
META*0.25-220.812-30-30105.59Meta Platforms Inc.351-5.5
ORLY 0.51-111.019-21-1820.70O'Reilly Automotive Inc.115-5.6
COST 0.62-101.236-26-2019.38Costco Wholesale Corporation96-6.2
WMT*0.50-141.290-24-1717.55Walmart Inc.103-7.0
EXE 0.53-370.365-60-2842.76Expand Energy Corporation152-19.6

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