Market Analysis: Economic Transition and Strategic ETF Deployment
This snapshot paints a clear picture of a market in transition. By analyzing sector weightings, exchange distributions, and ETF "style" tags, we can extract strong signals regarding the macroeconomic climate and capital deployment strategies.
Economic Analysis: The Physical Economy and Sticky Inflation
The data suggests the economy is in a late-cycle phase characterized by persistent inflation and a massive physical infrastructure build-out.
- The Infrastructure and Reshoring Boom: Sector data is heavily skewed toward the physical economy. Industrials (24%) and Materials (15%) dominate, backed by Metals & Mining (15%) and Construction & Engineering (11%). This points to an economy investing in supply chain reshoring and heavy manufacturing over purely digital services.
- Late-Cycle Inflationary Pressures: Data explicitly tags categories like Energy and Metals/Mining as "Late Cycle" or "Inflation." This indicates that while growth may be slowing, costs for commodities and materials remain high.
- The Electrification and AI Backbone: Despite the industrial tilt, Information Technology (18%) remains strong, with Semiconductors at 9%. Paired with Electrical Equipment (5%), capital is clearly flowing into the electrical grid and hardware required for AI and data center growth.
Investment Environment: A Shift to Tangible Assets and Value
The current environment demands a pivot away from speculative growth toward tangible assets and structural winners.
- Value Over Pure Growth: 59.2% of stocks are on the NYSE/Amex compared to 40.8% on the Nasdaq. Combined with a 44% weighting in Industrials and Financials, capital is rotating into "old economy" value stocks generating current cash flow.
- The Barbell Strategy: There is a fascinating split between defensive/inflation-hedging assets (Gold, Energy) and early-cycle growth engines (Semiconductors). Investors are protecting the downside while staying exposed to secular tech mega-trends.
- Strength in Mega-Cap Momentum: Companies tied to energy transition (GE Vernova) and tech dominance (Nvidia, Meta) boast massive 7-year growth rates, showing investors still pay a premium for undeniable market leaders.
Stats for 2026-02-20 (3rd week of the Month)
List creation date: 2026-02-20
Median MarketCap: 17601
40.8% stocks on Nasdaq; 59.2% stocks on NYSE/Amex
| Sector | |
|---|---|
| Industrials | 24% |
| Financials | 20% |
| Information Technology | 18% |
| Materials | 15% |
| Health Care | 8% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 7% |
| Energy | 5% |
| Consumer Staples | 3% |
| Communication Services | 1% |
| Industry | |
|---|---|
| Metals & Mining | 15% |
| Banks | 13% |
| Construction & Engine | 11% |
| Semiconductors & Semi | 9% |
| Electronic Equipment, | 7% |
| Electrical Equipment | 5% |
| Aerospace & Defense | 4% |
| Energy Equipment & Se | 4% |
| Biotechnology | 4% |
| Capital Markets | 4% |
| Pharmaceuticals | 3% |
| Textiles, Apparel & L | 3% |
| Machinery | 3% |
| Trading Companies & D | 1% |
| Household Durables | 1% |
| Oil, Gas & Consumable | 1% |
| Hotels, Restaurants & | 1% |
| Specialty Retail | 1% |
| Beverages | 1% |
| Tobacco | 1% |
| Health Care Providers | 1% |
| Consumer Finance | 1% |
| Insurance | 1% |
| Communications Equipm | 1% |
| Technology Hardware, | 1% |
| Wireless Telecommunic | 1% |
| Country | |
|---|---|
| United States | 73% |
| Canada | 11% |
| United Kingdom | 4% |
| Brazil | 4% |
| Bermuda | 3% |
| Cayman Islands | 3% |
| Israel | 1% |
| Mexico | 1% |
| Taiwan | 1% |
| GPA | Sym | (0gpaamp5) Industry | Sector | MktCap | Country | Name |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.96 | FIX | Construction & Engine | Industrials | 48338 | US | Comfort Systems USA, |
| 3.96 | STRL | Construction & Engine | Industrials | 12753 | US | Sterling Infrastructure, |
| 3.96 | PRIM | Construction & Engine | Industrials | 8956 | US | Primoris Services |
| 3.96 | GVA | Construction & Engine | Industrials | 5812 | US | Granite Constructionorpora |
| 3.92 | MTZ | Construction & Engine | Industrials | 21399 | US | MasTec, |
| 3.88 | EME | Construction & Engine | Industrials | 35972 | US | EMCOR Group, |
| 3.88 | DY | Construction & Engine | Industrials | 12568 | US | Dycom Industries, |
| 3.84 | PWR | Construction & Engine | Industrials | 82889 | US | Quanta Services, |
| 3.96 | VRT | Electrical Equipment | Industrials | 92994 | US | Vertiv Holdings Co |
| 3.92 | NVT | Electrical Equipment | Industrials | 18903 | United Kingdom | nVent Electric plc |
| 3.92 | VICR | Electrical Equipment | Industrials | 6825 | US | Vicor |
| 3.84 | NXT | Electrical Equipment | Industrials | 17231 | US | Nextpower |
| 3.96 | WWD | Aerospace & Defense | Industrials | 23305 | US | Woodward, |
| 3.88 | HWM | Aerospace & Defense | Industrials | 100756 | US | Howmet Aerospace |
| 3.80 | AIR | Aerospace & Defense | Industrials | 4511 | US | AAR. |
| 3.96 | SPXC | Machinery | Industrials | 12011 | US | SPX Technologies, |
| 3.84 | WAB | Machinery | Industrials | 44655 | US | Westinghouse Air Brake Technol |
| 3.96 | FTAI | Trading Companies & D | Industrials | 29642 | US | FTAI Aviation Ltd. |
| 3.92 | CFFN | Banks | Financials | 963 | US | Capitol Federal Financial, |
| 3.88 | KEY | Banks | Financials | 24021 | US | KeyCorp |
| 3.88 | VLY | Banks | Financials | 7325 | US | Valley National Bancorp |
| 3.84 | ITUB | Banks | Financials | 98794 | Brazil | Ita� Unibanco Holding S.A. |
| 3.84 | EWBC | Banks | Financials | 16490 | US | East West Bancorp, |
| 3.84 | WTFC | Banks | Financials | 10280 | US | Wintrust Financial |
| 3.84 | UBSI | Banks | Financials | 6150 | US | United Bankshares, |
| 3.84 | SBCF | Banks | Financials | 3244 | US | Seacoast Banking o |
| 3.80 | BBD | Banks | Financials | 40082 | Brazil | Banco Bradesco S.A. |
| 3.80 | AX | Banks | Financials | 5504 | US | Axos Financial, |
| 3.96 | WT | Capital Markets | Financials | 2258 | US | WisdomTree, |
| 3.92 | XP | Capital Markets | Financials | 11143 | Cayman Islands | XP |
| 3.80 | MRX | Capital Markets | Financials | 3009 | United Kingdom | Marex Group plc |
| 3.96 | EZPW | Consumer Finance | Financials | 1559 | US | EZCORP, |
| 3.92 | HG | Insurance | Financials | 2883 | Bermuda | Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. |
| 3.96 | TSM | Semiconductors & Semi | Information Technology | 1573087 | Taiwan | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufactu |
| 3.96 | MU | Semiconductors & Semi | Information Technology | 469631 | US | Micron Technology, |
| 3.96 | ADI | Semiconductors & Semi | Information Technology | 168577 | US | Analog Devices, |
| 3.96 | MTSI | Semiconductors & Semi | Information Technology | 18195 | US | MACOM Technology Solutions Hol |
| 3.88 | LRCX | Semiconductors & Semi | Information Technology | 296446 | US | Lam Research |
| 3.88 | ACMR | Semiconductors & Semi | Information Technology | 4240 | US | ACM Research, |
| 3.80 | MKSI | Semiconductors & Semi | Information Technology | 16731 | US | MKS |
| 3.96 | FN | Electronic Equipment, | Information Technology | 18409 | Cayman Islands | Fabrinet |
| 3.96 | TTMI | Electronic Equipment, | Information Technology | 10381 | US | TTM Technologies, |
| 3.92 | GLW | Electronic Equipment, | Information Technology | 111525 | US | Corning |
| 3.92 | COHR | Electronic Equipment, | Information Technology | 43586 | US | Coherent. |
| 3.88 | KN | Electronic Equipment, | Information Technology | 2315 | US | Knowles |
| 3.96 | LITE | Communications Equipm | Information Technology | 45385 | US | Lumentum Holdings |
| 3.92 | WDC | Technology Hardware, | Information Technology | 96514 | US | Western Digital |
| 3.96 | AU | Metals & Mining | Materials | 54341 | US | AngloGold Ashanti plc |
| 3.96 | RGLD | Metals & Mining | Materials | 22965 | US | Royal Gold, |
| 3.96 | NGD | Metals & Mining | Materials | 9436 | Canada | New Gold |
| 3.96 | ORLA | Metals & Mining | Materials | 6003 | Canada | Orla Mining Ltd. |
| 3.92 | AEM | Metals & Mining | Materials | 112304 | Canada | Agnico Eagle Mines Limited |
| 3.92 | AGI | Metals & Mining | Materials | 19238 | Canada | Alamos Gold |
| 3.92 | CDE | Metals & Mining | Materials | 15449 | US | Coeur Mining, |
| 3.92 | CGAU | Metals & Mining | Materials | 3830 | Canada | Centerra Gold |
| 3.88 | SCCO | Metals & Mining | Materials | 160314 | US | Southern Copper |
| 3.88 | WPM | Metals & Mining | Materials | 65974 | Canada | Wheaton Precious Metals. |
| 3.88 | FNV | Metals & Mining | Materials | 49155 | Canada | Franco-Nevada |
| 3.92 | KNSA | Biotechnology | Health Care | 3575 | United Kingdom | Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Intern |
| 3.80 | EXAS | Biotechnology | Health Care | 19717 | US | Exact Sciences |
| 3.80 | MIRM | Biotechnology | Health Care | 6317 | US | Mirum Pharmaceuticals, |
| 3.96 | TEVA | Pharmaceuticals | Health Care | 39982 | Israel | Teva Pharmaceutical Industries |
| 3.88 | INVA | Pharmaceuticals | Health Care | 1768 | US | Innoviva, |
| 3.92 | ENSG | Health Care Providers | Health Care | 11811 | US | The Ensign Group, |
| 3.88 | TPR | Textiles, Apparel & L | Consumer Discretionary | 30835 | US | Tapestry, |
| 3.84 | RL | Textiles, Apparel & L | Consumer Discretionary | 22813 | US | Ralph Lauren |
| 3.92 | SN | Household Durables | Consumer Discretionary | 17972 | US | SharkNinja, |
| 3.96 | VIK | Hotels, Restaurants & | Consumer Discretionary | 34176 | Bermuda | Viking Holdings Ltd |
| 3.84 | FIVE | Specialty Retail | Consumer Discretionary | 11912 | US | Five Below, |
| 3.96 | AROC | Energy Equipment & Se | Energy | 5764 | US | Archrock, |
| 3.88 | FTI | Energy Equipment & Se | Energy | 24983 | US | TechnipFMC plc |
| 3.88 | EFXT | Energy Equipment & Se | Energy | 2366 | Canada | Enerflex Ltd. |
| 3.92 | VIST | Oil, Gas & Consumable | Energy | 6134 | Mexico | Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. |
| 3.92 | MNST | Beverages | Consumer Staples | 80106 | US | Monster Beverage |
| 3.96 | TPB | Tobacco | Consumer Staples | 2523 | US | Turning Point Brands, |
| 3.96 | TIMB | Wireless Telecommunic | Communication Services | 12326 | Brazil | TIM S.A. |
0GPA38TB (* means Wkly fast and slow Fract individually, stronger then SPY).
| % Alloc | Sym | Name_currentList | Sym | Action | Sector | sharesHld | DlrHld | allocHld | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | LRCX | LAM RESEARCH CORP | LRCX | Information Technology | 4 | $979.7 | 9.7% | $244.92 | |
| 10% | MU | MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC | MU | Information Technology | 2 | $856.3 | 8.4% | $428.17 | |
| 9% | NEM | NEWMONT MINING CORP | NEM | Materials | 8 | $977.0 | 9.6% | $122.13 | |
| 10% | QQQ | Powershrs Qqq Trust Sr 1 | QQQ | n.a. | 2 | $1,217.6 | 12.0% | $608.81 | |
| 10% | SCCO | SOUTHERN COPPER CORP | SCCO | Materials | 5 | $1,005.1 | 9.9% | $201.01 | |
| 10% | SPY | SPDR S&P 500 | SPY | n.a. | 1 | $689.4 | 6.8% | $689.43 | |
| 10% | TSM | TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR ADR | TSM | Information Technology | 3 | $1,111.6 | 11.0% | $370.54 | |
| 10% | AEM | AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD | AEM | Materials | 5 | $1,141.3 | 11.2% | $228.26 | |
| 10% | GLW | CORNING INC | GLW | Information Technology | 8 | $1,116.1 | 11.0% | $139.51 | |
| 0% | *HWM | Howmet Aerospace Inc | HWM | added | Industrials | 0 | $0.0 | 0.0% | $258.1 |
| 0% | ADI | ANALOG DEVICES | ADI | added | Information Technology | 0 | $0.0 | 0.0% | $355.03 |
| 10% | APH | AMPHENOL CORP CL A | removed | Information Technology | 7 | $1,057.3 | 10.4% | $151.04 |
| Style | % Alloc | Shares | Symbol | Name | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| growth | 5.00 | 15 | SCHD | US Dividend Equity | 2026-02-20 | |
| growth | 4.50 | 1 | VIS | Industrial | Late and Early to Mid Cycle | 2026-02-20 |
| growth | 4.50 | 2 | XLI | Industrial | Late and Early to Mid Cycle | 2026-02-20 |
| growth | 4.50 | 5 | XLP | Consumer Staples Select* | Late Cycle to Recession | 2026-02-20 |
| growth | 4.50 | 1 | VDC | Consumer Staples* | Late Cycle to Recession | 2026-02-20 |
| growth | 5.25 | 1 | SMH | Semiconductors | Early to Mid Cycle | 2026-02-20 |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 2 | XTL | Telecom | 2026-02-20 | |
| cyclical | 4.50 | 3 | XHB | Homebuilders* | 2026-02-20 | |
| cyclical | 5.00 | 2 | VAW | Materials | Late and Early Cycle | 2026-02-20 |
| cyclical | 5.00 | 4 | XTN | Transportation | Mid to Late cycle | 2026-02-20 |
| cyclical | 5.00 | 8 | EEM | Emerging Markets | 2026-02-20 | |
| cyclical | 5.00 | 6 | IEMG | Emerging Market | 2026-02-20 | |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 6 | SLV | Silver | Inflation | 2026-02-20 |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 12 | SLVP | Global Silver and Metals Miners | Inflation | 2026-02-20 |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 9 | XLE | Energy Select Sector | Late Cycle and Inflation | 2026-02-20 |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 3 | VDE | Energy | Late Cycle and Inflation | 2026-02-20 |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 5 | RING | Gold Miners | Inflation | 2026-02-20 |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 1 | GLD | Gold | Inflation | 2026-02-20 |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 9 | XLB | Materials Select | Late and Early Cycle | 2026-02-20 |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 4 | XME | Metals and Mining | Late Cycle to Recession | 2026-02-20 |
| Style | % Alloc | Shares | Symbol | Name | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| growth | 5.25 | 1 | SMH | Semiconductors | Early to Mid Cycle | 2026-02-20 |
| growth | 5.25 | 16 | SCHD | US Dividend Equity | 2026-02-20 | |
| growth | 5.25 | 2 | XLI | Industrial | Late and Early to Mid Cycle | 2026-02-20 |
| growth | 5.25 | 1 | VIS | Industrial | Late and Early to Mid Cycle | 2026-02-20 |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 3 | VDE | Energy | Late Cycle and Inflation | 2026-02-20 |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 2 | XTL | Telecom | 2026-02-20 | |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 8 | EEM | Emerging Markets | 2026-02-20 | |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 6 | IEMG | Emerging Market | 2026-02-20 | |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 9 | XLE | Energy Select Sector | Late Cycle and Inflation | 2026-02-20 |
| cyclical | 5.25 | 9 | XLB | Materials Select | Late and Early Cycle | 2026-02-20 |
| # | %Alloc | Share | Sym | Name | Industry | Date | GPA | Ver |
|---|
| Symbol | Bound | Osc | Max Fract | Percent tile | Draw Down | Draw Down 7yr | cagr 7Yr | Name | cagr By dd | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJX | 0.55 | 3 | 1.1 | 82 | -23 | -21 | 17.72 | The TJX Companies Inc. | 84 | 1.7 |
| COR | 0.48 | 3 | 1.2 | 52 | -68 | -13 | 19.17 | Cencora Inc. | 147 | 1.4 |
| CRH | 0.49 | 1 | 1.0 | 95 | -54 | -33 | 21.66 | CRH plc | 65 | 0.5 |
| SPY | 1.00 | 0 | 1.0 | 94 | -33 | -19 | 13.83 | SNP500 | 72 | 0.0 |
| JNJ* | 0.79 | 27 | 0.5 | 52 | -20 | -20 | 8.57 | Johnson & Johnson | 42 | 21.3 |
| XOM* | 0.46 | 18 | 0.2 | 84 | -53 | -51 | 9.40 | Exxon Mobil Corporation | 18 | 8.3 |
| RTX | 0.57 | 14 | 0.9 | 50 | -22 | -22 | 17.12 | RTX Corporation | 77 | 8.0 |
| GOOGL* | 0.30 | 16 | 1.1 | 94 | -30 | -34 | 27.97 | Alphabet Inc. | 82 | 4.8 |
| PWR | 0.28 | 16 | 1.0 | 93 | -47 | -22 | 47.37 | Quanta Services Inc. | 215 | 4.5 |
| GOOG* | 0.30 | 14 | 1.1 | 95 | -35 | -34 | 28.08 | Alphabet Inc. | 82 | 4.2 |
| GEV | 0.20 | 19 | 1.0 | 95 | -27 | -27 | 156.49 | GE Vernova Inc. | 579 | 3.8 |
| WMT* | 0.42 | 9 | 1.3 | 99 | -24 | -17 | 20.52 | Walmart Inc. | 120 | 3.8 |
| KLAC | 0.15 | 24 | 1.3 | 94 | -38 | -28 | 44.66 | KLA Corporation | 159 | 3.6 |
| EME | 0.28 | 11 | 1.2 | 95 | -37 | -30 | 42.28 | EMCOR Group Inc. | 140 | 3.1 |
| JBL | 0.25 | 12 | 1.0 | 98 | -48 | -30 | 37.91 | Jabil Inc. | 126 | 3.0 |
| HUBB | 0.28 | 8 | 0.9 | 77 | -24 | -20 | 23.56 | Hubbell Incorporated | 117 | 2.2 |
| APH | 0.19 | 10 | 1.1 | 99 | -34 | -22 | 30.55 | Amphenol Corporation | 138 | 1.9 |
| HWM | 0.21 | 8 | 1.6 | 90 | -15 | -15 | 65.66 | Howmet Aerospace Inc. | 437 | 1.7 |
| LIN | 0.51 | 1 | 0.9 | 5 | -20 | -18 | 16.52 | Linde plc | 91 | 0.5 |
| GWW | 0.34 | 1 | 0.8 | 53 | -28 | -21 | 20.19 | W.W. Grainger Inc. | 96 | 0.3 |
| LLY* | 0.37 | 0 | 1.3 | 75 | -36 | -21 | 35.14 | Eli Lilly and Company | 167 | 0.0 |
| AAPL* | 0.34 | -1 | 1.0 | 30 | -37 | -23 | 29.63 | Apple Inc. | 128 | -0.3 |
| TSLA* | 0.19 | -2 | 0.5 | 60 | -53 | -58 | 53.87 | Tesla Inc. | 92 | -0.4 |
| MSI | 0.59 | -2 | 1.4 | 49 | -21 | -25 | 18.72 | Motorola Solutions Inc. | 74 | -1.2 |
| JPM* | 0.42 | -4 | 0.9 | 97 | -34 | -34 | 16.66 | JPMorgan Chase & Co. | 49 | -1.7 |
| AZO | 0.32 | -8 | 0.9 | 37 | -22 | -16 | 22.20 | AutoZone Inc. | 138 | -2.6 |
| SNPS | 0.19 | -16 | 1.3 | 20 | -28 | -29 | 23.05 | Synopsys Inc. | 79 | -3.0 |
| AMZN* | 0.27 | -12 | 0.8 | 26 | -40 | -47 | 14.57 | Amazon.com Inc. | 31 | -3.2 |
| COST | 0.57 | -6 | 1.3 | 63 | -27 | -20 | 24.12 | Costco Wholesale Corporation | 120 | -3.4 |
| AVGO* | 0.22 | -16 | 1.3 | 96 | -23 | -26 | 42.17 | Broadcom Inc. | 162 | -3.5 |
| ORLY | 0.32 | -11 | 1.1 | 39 | -21 | -15 | 20.35 | O'Reilly Automotive Inc. | 135 | -3.5 |
| TMUS | 0.28 | -13 | 1.3 | 22 | -21 | -23 | 16.78 | T-Mobile US Inc. | 72 | -3.6 |
| CTAS | 0.48 | -10 | 1.5 | 31 | -25 | -19 | 21.64 | Cintas Corporation | 113 | -4.8 |
| V* | 0.45 | -11 | 1.1 | 37 | -27 | -21 | 12.05 | Visa Inc. | 57 | -5.0 |
| MSFT* | 0.26 | -22 | 1.3 | 42 | -29 | -28 | 20.58 | Microsoft Corporation | 73 | -5.7 |
| ARES | 0.18 | -32 | 0.9 | 47 | -32 | -27 | 26.78 | Ares Management Corporation | 99 | -5.8 |
| META* | 0.26 | -23 | 1.3 | 13 | -31 | -31 | 125.72 | Meta Platforms Inc. | 405 | -6.0 |
| NVDA* | 0.40 | -15 | 1.1 | 71 | -58 | -52 | 73.79 | NVIDIA Corporation | 141 | -6.0 |
| FICO | 0.26 | -33 | 1.3 | 29 | -29 | -35 | 27.72 | Fair Isaac Corporation | 79 | -8.6 |
| EXE | 0.27 | -40 | 0.4 | 71 | -61 | -21 | 46.87 | Expand Energy Corporation | 223 | -10.8 |
