Friday, June 19, 2026

Stats for 2026-06-18 (3rd week of the Month)

1. Market Trend Analysis

The third week of June 2026 presents a clear, bifurcated market structure. It is characterized by high concentration in technology, highly specific fundamental quality leadership, and a distinct institutional rotation away from certain traditional mega-cap names.

  • Multi-Week Trend & Exchange Distribution: The market retains a strong tech-centric profile, with 62.7% of listings on the Nasdaq versus 37.3% on the NYSE/Amex. Over the trailing multi-week window, the technology complex (specifically hardware and semiconductors) continues to anchor the index weight. Information Technology demands a dominant 49% sector allocation, followed by Financials at 18% and Industrials at 15%.

  • Market Cap & Regime: The median market cap stands at $26,448M, showing a subtle compression over a rolling multi-week view. This signals a selective, late mid-trend regime. While broad indices remain stable, underlying risk appetite is tightly restricted to high-quality, secular growth clusters rather than a speculative, small-cap "junk rally."

  • Oscillator Dynamics: The sector ETF landscape is led by high-momentum clusters. SMH (Semiconductors), MTUM (BlackRock Momentum), and XLK (Technology) showcase robust, positive oscillator values (0.45, 0.60, and 0.47 respectively), maintaining structural upward trends. Conversely, cyclical and defensive pillars are flagging. Crucially, inflation-sensitive asset classes have entered deep corrections: XLE (Energy Select), DBC (Commodities), GLD (Gold), and SLV (Silver) have broken down into the "Showing signs of trouble" territory, experiencing significant oscillator exhaustion.

  • GPA (Gross Profitability Asset) Insights: Leadership quality remains exceptional, driven by fundamentally bulletproof balance sheets. The top of the dataset is dominated by maximum-tier GPA names (3.96 to 3.92) such as TSM, MU, AMD, ASML, LRCX, and KLAC. This demonstrates that institutional capital is strictly penalizing speculative, low-margin stories and explicitly clustering in names with massive operational leverage.

  • Mega-Cap Leadership Check: A profound internal divergence is visible within the Magnificent Seven / Mega-Cap cohort:

    • Leading Momentum: AAPL (Oscillator: 0.466), GOOGL (0.431) maintain firmly positive oscillators, validating structural institutional support.

    • Systemic Exhaustion: The primary market engine, NVDA, has rolled over to a negative near-term oscillator (-10), joined by MSFT (-17) and META (-27).

    • This transition from positive to negative oscillator profiles across the primary market caps issues a near-term bearish warning for index-level velocity. The mega-caps are no longer moving in lockstep; we are in a highly rotational market where index gains will feel narrow and fragile, even as specific tech sub-sectors expand.

2. Economic Outlook

The macroeconomic backdrop implies a cooling inflationary environment coupled with stable, late-cycle industrial production. The swift breakdown of energy equities (XLE), silver (SLV), and broader commodities (DBC) points to an imminent compression in raw material input costs. For companies with sustained pricing power, this shift represents a net expander of corporate gross margins rather than a harbinger of sudden demand destruction. Market sentiment is best classified as transitional. There is clear structural risk appetite for secular tech spending (evidenced by the 27% semiconductor concentration), but it is matched by a defensive positioning that shuns highly cyclical, value-oriented industries like traditional banks (KBE) and raw materials (XLB). Liquidity remains concentrated in high-liquidity, institutional-grade balance sheets.

3. Investment Ideas

Capital allocation must favor a modified barbell strategy that prioritizes secular hyper-growth with top-tier profitability on one side, and high-momentum industrial quality on the other. Growth continues to significantly outperform value, but because mega-cap leaders like Microsoft and Nvidia are showing near-term oscillator exhaustion, investors should shift allocation toward strong large-cap technology nodes that have lagged the initial surge or maintain superior fundamental asset efficiency (high GPA). Avoid adding capital to energy, metals, and mining, as their downward oscillator trends indicate a durable near-term peak. Structurally, the market is positioned in a Late Mid-Trend phase with a Medium Risk Level, necessitating focused position sizing inside the semiconductor, hardware, and advanced industrial infrastructure complexes.

4. ETF Opportunities

  • SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF)

  • MTUM (iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF)

  • XLK (Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund)

  • XSD (SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF)

  • XHS (SPDR S&P Health Care Services ETF)

  • XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund)

  • VTV (Vanguard Value ETF)

  • IWM (iShares Russell 2000 ETF)

5. Top 7 ETFs to Research

  1. SMH (Semiconductors)

    • Reasoning: Anchored by maximum GPA leaders (TSM, MU) and holding an incredibly robust market oscillator profile, this remains the undisputed engine of structural market alpha.

  2. MTUM (BlackRock Momentum)

    • Reasoning: With a powerful oscillator score of 0.60, MTUM systematically captures the mega-caps and large-caps that are successfully maintaining their upward trends while discarding exhausted legacy leaders.

  3. XLK (Technology Select Sector)

    • Reasoning: This ETF ensures heavy exposure to the dominant technology regime (49% of the overall market weight) while offering a highly liquid vehicle for large-cap growth execution.

  4. XSD (S&P Semiconductor)

    • Reasoning: An equal-weighted alternative to SMH, XSD captures early-signal momentum across mid-cap semi designers and equipment providers, capitalizing on the broader industry's 27% concentration.

  5. XHS (Health Care Services)

    • Reasoning: Positioned defensively in the late-cycle framework, XHS shows an independent, strong oscillator level of 0.81, acting as a crucial non-correlated portfolio stabilizer.

  6. XLI (Industrials)

    • Reasoning: Backed by high-GPA infrastructure and aerospace plays (such as HWM), this sector maintains reliable structural strength as capital rotates away from basic materials and energy.

  7. VTV (Large Cap Value)

    • Reasoning: Included as a strategic risk-mitigation tool; its high oscillator score (1.16) indicates institutional capital is quietly utilizing high-quality, large-cap value as a safe-haven asset amidst mega-cap tech dispersion.


Stats for 2026-06-18 (3rd week of the Month)

List creation date: 2026-06-18

Median MarketCap: 26448

62.7% stocks on Nasdaq; 37.3% stocks on NYSE/Amex

Sector
Information Technology49%
Financials18%
Industrials15%
Health Care6%
Consumer Staples4%
Materials3%
Energy1%
Consumer Discretionary1%
Communication Services1%
Industry
Semiconductors & Semi27%
Electronic Equipment,12%
Capital Markets9%
Banks6%
Aerospace & Defense6%
Technology Hardware, 4%
Software3%
Communications Equipm3%
Beverages3%
Health Care Providers3%
Pharmaceuticals3%
Metals & Mining3%
Construction & Engine3%
Electrical Equipment3%
Commercial Services &1%
Hotels, Restaurants &1%
Consumer Staples Dist1%
Energy Equipment & Se1%
Building Products1%
Consumer Finance1%
Entertainment1%
Financial Services1%
Country
United States83%
Canada4%
Taiwan3%
United Kingdom3%
Cayman Islands1%
Netherlands1%
Peru1%
Singapore1%
GPASym(0gpaamp5) IndustrySectorMktCapCountryName
3.96TSM Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 1978380TaiwanTaiwan Semiconductor Manufactu
3.96MU Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 1276618USMicron Technology,
3.96AMD Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 875094USAdvanced Micro Devices,
3.96ASML Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 742580NetherlandsASML Holding N.V.
3.96ARM Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 469378United KingdomArm Holdings plc
3.96ASX Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 85157TaiwanASE Technology Holding, Lt
3.96TER Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 68584USTeradyne,
3.96AMKR Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 22423USAmkor Technology,
3.92LRCX Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 486522USLam Research
3.92KLAC Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 339057USKLA
3.92ADI Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 211620USAnalog Devices,
3.92ALAB Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 71489USAstera Labs,
3.92MCHP Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 53997USMicrochip Technologyorpora
3.92CRDO Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 50690Cayman IslandsCredo Technology Group Holding
3.92MTSI Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 29863USMACOM Technology Solutions Hol
3.92MKSI Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 27448USMKS
3.84DIOD Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 5489USDiodes
3.80AMAT Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 489960USApplied Materials,
3.96SNX Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 22876USTD SYNNEX
3.96KN Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 3540USKnowles
3.92COHR Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 76215USCoherent.
3.92TTMI Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 22459USTTM Technologies,
3.88ARW Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 11899USArrow Electronics,
3.88PLXS Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 8018USPlexus.
3.84GLW Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 167756USCorning
3.84CGNX Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 11000USCognex
3.96DELL Technology Hardware, Information Technology 265400USDell Technologies
3.96STX Technology Hardware, Information Technology 242074SingaporeSeagate Technology Holdings pl
3.92WDC Technology Hardware, Information Technology 257209USWestern Digital
3.96FTNT Software Information Technology 106036USFortinet,
3.84PANW Software Information Technology 234361USPalo Alto Networks,
3.92DGII Communications Equipm Information Technology 2604USDigi International
3.80EXTR Communications Equipm Information Technology 4104USExtreme Networks,
3.96VIRT Capital Markets Financials 5489USVirtu Financial,
3.92VCTR Capital Markets Financials 5439USVictory Capital Holdings,
3.88MS Capital Markets Financials 352003USMorgan Stanley
3.88IBKR Capital Markets Financials 42767USInteractive Brokers Group,
3.88SNEX Capital Markets Financials 11020USStoneX Group
3.80GS Capital Markets Financials 336207USThe Goldman Sachs Group,
3.96BMO Banks Financials 119607CanadaBank of Montreal
3.96CARE Banks Financials 688USCarter Bankshares,
3.80RY Banks Financials 280141CanadaRoyal Bank of Canada
3.80IFS Banks Financials 6357PeruIntercorp Financial Services I
3.96PAYS Financial Services Financials 413USPaysign,
3.92DAVE Consumer Finance Financials 3998USDave
3.96HWM Aerospace & Defense Industrials 111094USHowmet Aerospace
3.88CRS Aerospace & Defense Industrials 29139USCarpenter Technologyorati
3.88AIR Aerospace & Defense Industrials 5291USAAR.
3.88ATRO Aerospace & Defense Industrials 3466USAstronics
3.96STRL Construction & Engine Industrials 26448USSterling Infrastructure,
3.84ECG Construction & Engine Industrials 8050USEverus Construction Group,
3.92NVT Electrical Equipment Industrials 28628United KingdomnVent Electric plc
3.92VICR Electrical Equipment Industrials 15104USVicor
3.80AAON Building Products Industrials 11199USAAON,
3.92CXW Commercial Services & Industrials 2858USCoreCivic,
3.84ASTH Health Care Providers Health Care 1942USAstrana Health,
3.80AMN Health Care Providers Health Care 1202USAMN Healthcare Services,
3.96LQDA Pharmaceuticals Health Care 6320USLiquidia
3.88ETON Pharmaceuticals Health Care 890USEton Pharmaceuticals,
3.88COCO Beverages Consumer Staples 4799USThe Vita Coco Company,
3.84MNST Beverages Consumer Staples 89331USMonster Beverage
3.84CHEF Consumer Staples Dist Consumer Staples 3890USThe Chefs' Warehouse,
3.92SCCO Metals & Mining Materials 160967USSouthern Copper
3.80HBM Metals & Mining Materials 10954CanadaHudbay Minerals
3.84SEI Energy Equipment & Se Energy 4840USSolaris Energy Infrastructure,
3.92RSI Hotels, Restaurants & Consumer Discretionary 3029USRush Street Interactive,
3.84ROKU Entertainment Communication Services 20404USRoku,

0GPA38TB (* means Wkly fast and slow Fract individually, stronger then SPY).

% AllocSymName_currentListSymActionSectorsharesHldDlrHldallocHldPrice
5% AMATAPPLIED MATERIALS INC AMAT Information Technology1$617.14.7%$617.11
5% AMDADVANCED MICRO DEVICES AMD Information Technology1$537.44.1%$537.37
5% ANETArista Networks IncANET Information Technology4$678.75.2%$169.67
5% APHAMPHENOL CORP CL A APH Information Technology4$655.85.0%$163.96
6% ARMArvinMeritor, Inc.ARM Information Technology2$878.96.7%$439.46
5% ASMLA S M L Holding N.V. NYASML Information Technology0$0.00.0%$1929.68
5% BMOBANK OF MONTREAL QUEBEC BMO Financials4$683.35.2%$170.82
5% GOOGAlphabet Inc Cl CGOOG Communication Services2$734.95.6%$367.46
5% GOOGLAlphabet Inc Cl AGOOGL Communication Services2$736.15.6%$368.03
5%*KLACK L A TENCOR CORP KLAC Information Technology2$519.13.9%$259.56
5% LRCXLAM RESEARCH CORP LRCX Information Technology2$778.15.9%$389.04
5% MSMORGAN STANLEY MS Financials3$669.55.1%$223.17
6% MUMICRON TECHNOLOGY INC MU Information Technology1$1,134.08.6%$1133.99
5% SCCOSOUTHERN COPPER CORP SCCO Materials3$578.84.4%$192.93
6% STXSEAGATE TECHNOLOGY STX Information Technology1$1,070.28.1%$1070.23
5% TSMTAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR ADRTSM Information Technology1$462.13.5%$462.12
7% WDCWESTERN DIGITAL CORP WDC Information Technology1$746.25.7%$746.23
0% ADIANALOG DEVICES ADIadded Information Technology0$0.00.0%$434.46
0% RYROYAL BANK OF CANADA RYadded Financials0$0.00.0%$201.56
0%*GSGOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC GSadded Financials0$0.00.0%$1096.56
0%*HWMHowmet Aerospace IncHWMadded Industrials0$0.00.0%$277.66
0% DELLDell Technologies IncDELLadded Information Technology0$0.00.0%$409.5
0% GLWCORNING INC GLWadded Information Technology0$0.00.0%$194.92
5% LLYLILLY ELI & CO removed Health Care1$1,098.68.3%$1098.57
5% CSCOCISCO SYSTEMS INC removed Information Technology5$597.74.5%$119.54

These selected ETFs are ideas in the current market environment. (* means 6 Month Grt < 0; + means 2 Month Grt < 0)
Style</>% AllocSharesSymbolNameDate
growth5.250SMHSemiconductorsEarly to Mid Cycle 2026-06-18
growth5.252XLKTechnology Select SectorEarly to Mid Cycle 2026-06-18
growth5.251MTUMBlackRock Momentum 2026-06-18
growth5.253UPROSP500 2026-06-18
growth5.250QQQGrowth 2026-06-18
growth5.004ONEQNasdaq Index 2026-06-18
growth4.502VTVLarge cap Value* 2026-06-18
growth4.505VUGLarge Cap growth* 2026-06-18
cyclical5.250XSDSemiconductor 2026-06-18
cyclical5.256TQQQGrowth 2026-06-18
cyclical5.001IWMSmall Cap 2026-06-18
cyclical5.002VXFExtended Market 2026-06-18
cyclical5.002XTLTelecom+ 2026-06-18
cyclical4.503XHS Health Care Services*Late Cycle to Recession 2026-06-18
cyclical4.501XAR Aerospace & Defense* 2026-06-18
cyclical5.257EEMEmerging Markets 2026-06-18
cyclical5.256IEMGEmerging Market 2026-06-18
cyclical5.004XTNTransportationMid to Late cycle2026-06-18

These selected ETFs are early signal in the current market environment. (* means 6 Month Grt < 0; + means 2 Month Grt < 0)
Style</>% AllocSharesSymbolNameDate
growth5.250SMHSemiconductorsEarly to Mid Cycle 2026-06-18
growth5.252VTVLarge cap Value* 2026-06-18
growth5.251MTUMBlackRock Momentum 2026-06-18
growth5.252XLKTechnology Select SectorEarly to Mid Cycle 2026-06-18
growth5.251VOTMid Cap Growth* 2026-06-18
growth5.250QQQGrowth 2026-06-18
cyclical5.256TQQQGrowth 2026-06-18
cyclical5.254XHS Health Care Services*Late Cycle to Recession 2026-06-18
cyclical5.250XSDSemiconductor 2026-06-18

These selected stocks are ideas in the current market environment. Weekly and Monthly Fract better than SPY. * means Wkly fast and slow Fract individually, stronger then SPY.
#%AllocShareSymNameIndustryDateGPAVer
233.331.7*FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc. Construction & Engineering2026-06-183.962,3,4
333.3312.8*KLACKLA Corporation Semiconductors & Semiconducto2026-06-183.922,3,4
133.3420.3 APHAmphenol Corporation Electronic Equipment, Instrum2026-06-183.882,3,4

These stocks are from S&P500 which have a stong Oscillator. Spy Osc=4
SymbolBoundOscMax
Fract
Percent
tile
Draw
Down
Draw
Down
7yr
cagr
7Yr
Namecagr
By
dd
score
ADI 0.51291.299-28-2121.69Analog Devices Inc.10314.8
GS 0.47141.199-49-2827.98The Goldman Sachs Group Inc.996.6
HLT 0.5871.172-31-3120.40Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.654.1
SPY 1.0041.095-33-1914.33SNP500754.0
TRGP 0.5751.187-85-6131.72Targa Resources Corp.522.9
AAPL*0.4661.137-37-2329.19Apple Inc.1262.8
WAB 0.6241.085-44-2421.55Westinghouse Air Brake Technol892.5
INTC*0.241330.399-65-7016.01Intel Corporation2231.9
MU*0.251110.999-61-4464.84Micron Technology Inc.14727.8
FTNT 0.63440.939-36-3238.25Fortinet Inc.11927.7
AMD*0.32850.976-77-5550.69Advanced Micro Devices Inc.9227.2
PANW 0.46320.853-36-2735.55Palo Alto Networks Inc.13114.7
CAT 0.44290.999-46-2633.52Caterpillar Inc.12812.8
KLAC 0.19531.399-37-2856.75KLA Corporation20210.1
JBL 0.39231.099-47-3045.21Jabil Inc.1509.0
GWW 0.61130.860-28-2125.93W.W. Grainger Inc.1237.9
ODFL 0.31190.819-33-3524.78Old Dominion Freight Line Inc705.9
PWR 0.36141.199-47-2251.45Quanta Services Inc.2335.0
GOOGL*0.43101.099-30-3431.11Alphabet Inc.914.3
GOOG*0.4491.199-34-3431.11Alphabet Inc.914.0
FIX 0.29121.599-37-3168.81Comfort Systems USA Inc.2213.5
CASY 0.19141.999-21-1727.67Casey's General Stores Inc.1622.7
GEV 0.2191.296-26-26155.17GE Vernova Inc.5961.9
LLY*0.4221.274-35-2138.10Eli Lilly and Company1810.8
APH 0.1731.198-34-2331.96Amphenol Corporation1380.5
ANET 0.1910.976-37-3341.24Arista Networks Inc.1240.2
TJX 0.4401.481-23-2117.23The TJX Companies Inc.820.0
HWM 0.26-11.782-15-1563.32Howmet Aerospace Inc.422-0.3
HUBB 0.37-10.973-24-2022.88Hubbell Incorporated114-0.4
AMZN*0.37-20.828-39-4714.44Amazon.com Inc.30-0.7
AVGO*0.21-61.395-23-2646.95Broadcom Inc.180-1.3
EME 0.33-41.293-36-3038.91EMCOR Group Inc.129-1.3
TSLA*0.33-60.552-53-5859.90Tesla Inc.103-2.0
JPM*0.59-41.192-34-3416.64JPMorgan Chase & Co.48-2.4
RTX 0.45-70.848-22-2216.13RTX Corporation73-3.2
COST 0.39-101.248-26-2020.18Costco Wholesale Corporation100-3.9
NVDA*0.40-101.162-58-5277.32NVIDIA Corporation148-4.0
WMT*0.51-91.497-24-1718.11Walmart Inc.106-4.6
MSFT*0.28-171.231-30-2915.89Microsoft Corporation54-4.8
META*0.27-270.912-30-30108.74Meta Platforms Inc.362-7.3
ORLY 0.66-171.025-21-1619.01O'Reilly Automotive Inc.118-11.2


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