Friday, April 3, 2026

Stats for 2026-04-02 (1st week of the Month)

Conversation with Gemini 

Weekly Stock Analysis said 

This analysis covers the market session ending April 2, 2026.

1. Market Trend Analysis

Trend & Breadth Dynamics The market is currently navigating a mid-trend correction following a volatile Q1. The median market cap has settled at 11,087, reflecting a slight "risk-off" posture as capital migrates toward mid-cap stability and established industrials. Market breadth shows a notable divergence: while 61.4% of the dataset resides on the NYSE/Amex (favoring value/cyclicals), the Nasdaq (38.6%) remains the primary engine for high-conviction momentum, specifically in the Information Technology (25%) and Industrials (23%) sectors.

Oscillator & Leadership Quality The benchmark SPY Oscillator stands at -6, signaling a short-term pullback or "digestion" phase. However, a significant internal divergence is emerging. High-GPA leaders like Fabrinet (FN), Vertiv (VRT), and Western Digital (WDC) maintain GPAs near 3.96, indicating that despite the index-level drag, the quality of market leadership remains fundamentally elite. We are seeing a rotation from hyper-growth into "Hard Tech" and Infrastructure (Electrical Equipment and Construction), as evidenced by the strength in names like Comfort Systems (FIX) and nVent (NVT).

Mega-Cap Leadership Check

  • Nvidia (NVDA) & Microsoft (MSFT): Both exhibit deeply negative oscillators (-23), confirming they are currently in a corrective phase and not providing immediate lift.

  • Alphabet (GOOGL) & Apple (AAPL): Showing signs of bottoming with oscillators of 0 and -6 respectively.

  • Tesla (TSLA): Weak at -14.

  • Verdict: Mega-cap leadership is transitioning. The "Magnificent" names are no longer the primary drivers; leadership has narrowed to specialized AI infrastructure and cyclical recovery plays. The rally is fragile at the index level but robust within specific "picks and shovels" sub-sectors.


2. Economic Outlook

The macro environment is characterized by "Productive Stagflation." While GDP growth remains resilient at a projected 2.4%, elevated energy prices and the lingering effects of the 2025 tariff shifts have kept the Fed in a "higher-for-longer" stance. Sentiment is cautious but opportunistic. The easing of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East (Iran) has provided a "dead cat bounce" relief, yet liquidity remains tight as the market adjusts to a neutral-rate environment where further cuts are unlikely in 2026.


3. Investment Ideas

Capital is flowing aggressively into Infrastructure, Energy, and AI-enabling Materials. We favor Growth-at-a-Reasonable-Price (GARP) over pure speculative growth. With the median market cap shifting lower, the "sweet spot" is in Large-to-Mid cap industrials that provide the physical backbone for the digital economy. We recommend a barbell approach: hold core defensive positions in Utilities (XLU) and Value (COWZ) while maintaining tactical exposure to the Semiconductor recovery (MU, WDC) as they benefit from a 50% spike in memory

Market Regime: Mid-Trend Correction / Consolidation Risk Level: Medium-High (Watch the 6,340 support level on the S&P 500)


Stats for 2026-04-02 (1st week of the Month)

List creation date: 2026-04-02

Median MarketCap: 11087

38.6% stocks on Nasdaq; 61.4% stocks on NYSE/Amex

Sector
Information Technology25%
Industrials23%
Consumer Discretionary11%
Materials11%
Health Care9%
Energy7%
Communication Services5%
Utilities5%
Financials5%
Industry
Electronic Equipment,11%
Construction & Engine9%
Oil, Gas & Consumable7%
Metals & Mining7%
Aerospace & Defense7%
Communications Equipm7%
Consumer Finance5%
Specialty Retail5%
Chemicals5%
Electrical Equipment5%
Health Care Providers5%
Biotechnology2%
Pharmaceuticals2%
IT Services2%
Technology Hardware, 2%
Machinery2%
Hotels, Restaurants &2%
Diversified Consumer 2%
Distributors2%
Semiconductors & Semi2%
Media2%
Entertainment2%
Electric Utilities2%
Gas Utilities2%
Country
United States77%
Canada7%
United Kingdom5%
Bermuda2%
Brazil2%
Cayman Islands2%
Greece2%
Mexico2%
GPASym(0gpaamp5) IndustrySectorMktCapCountryName
3.96FN Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 19990Cayman IslandsFabrinet
3.92GLW Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 127066USCorning
3.92COHR Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 50411USCoherent.
3.84KEYS Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 49948USKeysight Technologies,
3.80JBL Electronic Equipment, Information Technology 28358USJabil
3.96LITE Communications Equipm Information Technology 59039USLumentum Holdings
3.88ADTN Communications Equipm Information Technology 1039USADTRAN Holdings,
3.80DGII Communications Equipm Information Technology 1879USDigi International
3.92FSLY IT Services Information Technology 5085USFastly,
3.96WDC Technology Hardware, Information Technology 100006USWestern Digital
3.88MTSI Semiconductors & Semi Information Technology 17875USMACOM Technology Solutions Hol
3.96FIX Construction & Engine Industrials 49767USComfort Systems USA,
3.84MTZ Construction & Engine Industrials 26179USMasTec,
3.84AGX Construction & Engine Industrials 8021USArgan,
3.80PWR Construction & Engine Industrials 83881USQuanta Services,
3.92BWXT Aerospace & Defense Industrials 19695USBWX Technologies,
3.88SATL Aerospace & Defense Industrials 969USSatellogic
3.80CW Aerospace & Defense Industrials 25646USCurtiss-Wright
3.96VRT Electrical Equipment Industrials 99969USVertiv Holdings Co
3.96NVT Electrical Equipment Industrials 19074United KingdomnVent Electric plc
3.80WAB Machinery Industrials 43296USWestinghouse Air Brake Technol
3.96FNV Metals & Mining Materials 49757CanadaFranco-Nevada
3.96AGI Metals & Mining Materials 19326CanadaAlamos Gold
3.96SSRM Metals & Mining Materials 6843USSSR Mining
3.84LXU Chemicals Materials 1071USLSB Industries,
3.80CF Chemicals Materials 19966USCF Industries Holdings,
3.88BURL Specialty Retail Consumer Discretionary 20368USBurlington Stores,
3.88FIVE Specialty Retail Consumer Discretionary 13003USFive Below,
3.92RSI Hotels, Restaurants & Consumer Discretionary 2323USRush Street Interactive,
3.88PRDO Diversified Consumer Consumer Discretionary 2345USPerdoceo Edu
3.96GCT Distributors Consumer Discretionary 1640USGigaCloud Technology
3.96TALK Health Care Providers Health Care 866USTalkspace,
3.88GRDN Health Care Providers Health Care 2406USGuardian Pharmacy Services, In
3.96KNSA Biotechnology Health Care 3737United KingdomKiniksa Pharmaceuticals Intern
3.96PAHC Pharmaceuticals Health Care 2251USPhibro Animal Healthorati
3.96VIST Oil, Gas & Consumable Energy 7160MexicoVista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.
3.96GLNG Oil, Gas & Consumable Energy 5626BermudaGolar LNG Limited
3.84ECO Oil, Gas & Consumable Energy 1977GreeceOkeanis Eco Tankers.
3.96EZPW Consumer Finance Financials 1678USEZCORP,
3.80FCFS Consumer Finance Financials 8779USFirstCash Holdings,
3.92NYT Media Communication Services 13875USThe New York Times Company
3.80IMAX Entertainment Communication Services 2167CanadaIMAX
3.92ELPC Electric Utilities Utilities 9172BrazilCompanhia Paranaense de Energi
3.84NFG Gas Utilities Utilities 8974USNational Fuel Gas Company

0GPA38TB (* means Wkly fast and slow Fract individually, stronger then SPY).

% AllocSymName_currentListSymActionSectorsharesHldDlrHldallocHldPrice
9% MUMICRON TECHNOLOGY INC MU Information Technology3$1,098.79.4%$366.24
35% QQQPowershrs Qqq Trust Sr 1QQQ n.a.7$4,094.935.0%$584.98
35% SPYSPDR S&P 500 SPY n.a.6$3,935.033.7%$655.83
10% AEMAGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD AEM Materials6$1,251.210.7%$208.54
0% AMDADVANCED MICRO DEVICES AMDadded Information Technology0$0.00.0%$217.5
0% GLWCORNING INC GLWadded Information Technology0$0.00.0%$147.92
0% TSMTAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR ADRTSMadded Information Technology0$0.00.0%$339.04
0% WDCWESTERN DIGITAL CORP WDCadded Information Technology0$0.00.0%$294.97
10%*VRT removed Industrials5$1,306.511.2%$261.29

These selected ETFs are ideas in the current market environment. (* means 6 Month Grt < 0; + means 2 Month Grt < 0)
Style</>% AllocSharesSymbolNameDate
growth5.2517SCHDUS Dividend Equity 2026-04-02
growth5.2511XLUUtilities Select SectorLate Cycle to Recession 2026-04-02
growth5.252VPUUtilitiesLate Cycle to Recession 2026-04-02
cyclical5.254XBIBiotechEarly to Mid Cycle 2026-04-02
cyclical5.258COWZPacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF 2026-04-02
cyclical5.258SDOGValue 2026-04-02
cyclical5.002VOEMid Cap Value 2026-04-02
cyclical5.004TIPInflation Protected Bond* 2026-04-02
cyclical5.009XLBMaterials Select+Late and Early Cycle2026-04-02
cyclical5.2517DBCCommodityLate Cycle and Inflation2026-04-02
cyclical5.253VDEEnergyLate Cycle and Inflation2026-04-02
cyclical5.258XLEEnergy Select Sector Late Cycle and Inflation2026-04-02
cyclical5.252XTLTelecom 2026-04-02

These selected ETFs are early signal in the current market environment. (* means 6 Month Grt < 0; + means 2 Month Grt < 0)
Style</>% AllocSharesSymbolNameDate
growth5.2517SCHDUS Dividend Equity 2026-04-02
growth5.2511XLUUtilities Select SectorLate Cycle to Recession 2026-04-02
growth5.252VPUUtilitiesLate Cycle to Recession 2026-04-02
growth5.257SPLVInvesco S&P 500 Low Volatility 2026-04-02
cyclical5.258SDOGValue 2026-04-02
cyclical5.258COWZPacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF 2026-04-02
cyclical5.252XTLTelecom 2026-04-02
cyclical5.2517DBCCommodityLate Cycle and Inflation2026-04-02
cyclical5.253VDEEnergyLate Cycle and Inflation2026-04-02
cyclical5.258XLEEnergy Select Sector Late Cycle and Inflation2026-04-02

These selected stocks are ideas in the current market environment. Weekly and Monthly Fract better than SPY. * means Wkly fast and slow Fract individually, stronger then SPY.
#%AllocShareSymNameIndustryDateGPAVer

These stocks are from S&P500 which have a stong Oscillator. Spy Osc=-6
SymbolBoundOscMax
Fract
Percent
tile
Draw
Down
Draw
Down
7yr
cagr
7Yr
Namecagr
By
dd
score
TRGP 0.83101.085-85-6128.50Targa Resources Corp.468.3
PWR 0.6591.096-47-2246.50Quanta Services Inc.2115.9
WMB 1.0741.195-68-3413.68The Williams Companies Inc.404.3
CBOE 0.5431.193-32-3017.02Cboe Global Markets Inc.561.6
WMT*0.5821.599-24-1721.43Walmart Inc.1261.2
TJX 0.9711.383-23-2117.21The TJX Companies Inc.811.0
CAH 0.6711.198-48-2124.12Cardinal Health Inc.1140.7
WELL 0.6711.696-41-4214.66Welltower Inc.340.7
BK 0.7411.298-52-3513.18The Bank of New York Mellon Co370.7
SPY 1.00-61.090-33-1912.61SNP50066-6.0
JNJ*0.98190.568-20-208.45Johnson & Johnson4218.6
XOM*0.59200.488-53-5110.21Exxon Mobil Corporation2011.8
CTVA 0.48130.661-26-2619.85Corteva Inc.766.2
GEV 0.43101.296-26-26153.34GE Vernova Inc.5894.3
KLAC 0.31111.398-37-2843.35KLA Corporation1543.4
RTX 0.6440.952-22-2216.71RTX Corporation752.6
LIN 1.0020.88-20-1815.98Linde plc882.0
JBL 0.3731.099-47-3037.91Jabil Inc.1261.1
GOOG*0.5201.195-35-3425.51Alphabet Inc.750.0
GOOGL*0.5201.193-30-3425.51Alphabet Inc.750.0
HUBB 0.46-20.975-24-2022.39Hubbell Incorporated111-0.9
EME 0.37-31.291-37-3039.32EMCOR Group Inc.131-1.1
MCK 0.43-31.183-46-1833.87McKesson Corporation188-1.3
APH 0.17-121.197-34-2226.32Amphenol Corporation119-2.0
GWW 0.52-40.852-28-2120.03W.W. Grainger Inc.95-2.1
TSLA*0.22-140.555-53-5852.20Tesla Inc.90-3.1
MSI 0.69-51.346-21-2517.53Motorola Solutions Inc.70-3.5
HWM 0.38-101.784-15-1561.32Howmet Aerospace Inc.408-3.8
LLY*0.30-131.273-35-2132.67Eli Lilly and Company155-3.9
AAPL*0.66-61.027-37-2326.82Apple Inc.116-4.0
COST 1.21-41.361-27-2022.84Costco Wholesale Corporation114-4.8
FICO 0.15-411.217-30-3621.70Fair Isaac Corporation60-6.2
AVGO*0.30-221.390-24-2639.69Broadcom Inc.152-6.6
JPM*0.63-111.094-34-3415.86JPMorgan Chase & Co.46-6.9
AZO 0.41-170.828-22-1718.41AutoZone Inc.108-7.0
ORLY 0.51-141.134-21-1619.49O'Reilly Automotive Inc.121-7.1
AMZN*0.69-120.822-40-4712.72Amazon.com Inc.27-8.3
V*0.55-151.130-27-219.66Visa Inc.46-8.3
TMUS 0.57-151.216-22-2416.36T-Mobile US Inc.68-8.6
CTAS 0.47-191.425-25-1919.02Cintas Corporation100-8.9
META*0.33-311.112-31-31115.43Meta Platforms Inc.372-10.2
MSFT*0.45-231.233-29-2817.72Microsoft Corporation63-10.4
NVDA*0.51-231.162-58-5268.63NVIDIA Corporation131-11.7
EXE 0.59-390.469-61-2145.81Expand Energy Corporation218-23.0


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